Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000157 0.000173 0.000190 0.000210 0.000232 0.000256 0.000284
2025-10-19 0.000123 0.000146 0.000172 0.000205 0.000246 0.000293 0.000355
2025-10-26 0.000106 0.000132 0.000164 0.000207 0.000262 0.000333 0.000431
2025-11-02 0.000092 0.000119 0.000155 0.000204 0.000272 0.000363 0.000498
2025-11-09 0.000082 0.000110 0.000148 0.000204 0.000283 0.000395 0.000569
2025-11-16 0.000074 0.000102 0.000141 0.000200 0.000289 0.000420 0.000633
2025-11-23 0.000066 0.000094 0.000133 0.000195 0.000291 0.000438 0.000688
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000090 0.000132 0.000198 0.000305 0.000476 0.000779
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000087 0.000130 0.000202 0.000321 0.000518 0.000881
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000082 0.000125 0.000198 0.000323 0.000537 0.000947
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000076 0.000118 0.000191 0.000319 0.000544 0.000990
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000192 0.000329 0.000578 0.001090
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000071 0.000114 0.000194 0.000342 0.000619 0.001213
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000067 0.000111 0.000192 0.000348 0.000649 0.001319
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000065 0.000109 0.000194 0.000360 0.000693 0.001464
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000062 0.000105 0.000191 0.000365 0.000721 0.001578
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000059 0.000103 0.000191 0.000373 0.000758 0.001718
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000056 0.000100 0.000188 0.000375 0.000783 0.001833
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000183 0.000373 0.000798 0.001927
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000186 0.000388 0.000853 0.002135
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000189 0.000405 0.000915 0.002376
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000186 0.000404 0.000935 0.002504
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000179 0.000396 0.000934 0.002566